UNCLAIMED GROUND

    Your Goal Ignores The Market

    By Craig Paxson · August 3, 2026 · business_strategy


    A Middle Tennessee business owner came to me running on a popular business system. He had a clear goal: reach 20 percent net profit within three years. The whole leadership team was aligned. They had rocks. They had a scorecard. They had execution discipline.

    Nobody had checked what the market could actually support.

    Industry best-in-class was 12 percent. His goal wasn't ambitious. It was impossible. And the entire planning process had begun by looking inward at what they wanted rather than outward at what the market allowed.

    This is the single biggest planning mistake I see. Owners set goals in a vacuum. Revenue targets get picked because they sound good or because last year plus 20 percent feels like growth. Profit margins get chosen because someone read a book or heard a benchmark at a conference.

    None of it connects to the market they actually compete in.

    Strategy does not start with your goals. It starts with your market. What is your market growing at? If your market is growing at 8 percent and you are targeting 25 percent growth, you are not planning. You are guessing. You are assuming you will take share from competitors without naming which competitors or explaining how.

    If your profit target exceeds what best-in-class companies in your industry achieve, you need a specific structural advantage that changes the cost equation. Not hope. Not effort. A different business model.

    The planning sequence matters. Start outside. What is the market doing? Who are you actually competing against? What position is nobody else claiming? What would give a customer a compelling reason to choose you?

    Then and only then do you set goals.

    Most operating systems skip this step entirely. They assume the market context is already understood or they treat it as background noise. So owners end up with beautifully executed plans aimed at targets the market will never allow them to hit.

    Your revenue goal should answer this question: based on market growth rate and the competitive advantage we are building, what share can we reasonably capture?

    Your profit goal should answer this question: based on our pricing architecture and cost structure, what margin can we defend while still winning customers?

    If you cannot connect your goals to your market, you do not have a strategy. You have a wish list with a scorecard attached.

    The market does not care what you want. It only cares what you offer that nobody else does.

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